How Much Coffee Does Mexico Produce? | Output By Season

Mexico harvests about 3.8 to 3.9 million 60-kilogram bags in a recent season, with Chiapas leading national output.

Mexico is not the biggest coffee producer on earth, but it is still a heavyweight. In a recent USDA forecast, the country was set to produce about 3.9 million 60-kilogram bags of coffee in the 2025/26 marketing year. That works out to about 234,000 metric tons of green bean equivalent.

That number tells you the broad story. Mexico grows a large crop by world standards, yet the bigger picture is tied to where the beans come from, how steady yields are, and why the total can swing from one season to the next. Weather, plant age, rust pressure, labor, and prices all shape the final harvest.

If you only need the clean answer, use this rule of thumb: Mexico usually lands in the high-three-million-bag range in recent seasons. That puts the country among the world’s notable arabica producers, with most of the crop coming from the south and east.

Why Mexico’s Coffee Crop Gets So Much Attention

Mexico matters in coffee for a few plain reasons. Its beans move into the U.S. market at scale, its farms stretch across many mountain zones, and a large share of the crop comes from small growers. That mix gives Mexican coffee a wide range of cup profiles, from chocolatey and nutty lots to brighter, higher-grown arabicas.

The crop also sits close to North American buyers. That shortens shipping routes, helps with fresher arrivals, and keeps Mexico in the conversation even when bigger producers dominate total volume.

How Much Coffee Does Mexico Produce Each Year?

The cleanest current figure is the USDA forecast for 2025/26: 3.9 million bags. The prior season was pegged at 3.8 million bags, while 2023/24 came in lower at 3.35 million. So the answer is not one frozen number. It is a range that moves with crop conditions.

Those swings are normal in coffee. A country can plant about the same area and still end up with a different crop size because yields move around. In Mexico, that shift often comes from heat, rain timing, pests, rust pressure, and how much money growers can put back into farm care.

In plain English, Mexico produces a lot of coffee, but not at the same level every year. When someone asks how much coffee the country produces, the safest reply is to give a recent season figure and then note that the crop has been running around 3.3 to 3.9 million bags in the past few years.

Where Mexico’s Coffee Comes From

Production is not spread evenly across the map. A few states do most of the work. USDA says four states account for 91.4% of national output: Chiapas, Veracruz, Puebla, and Oaxaca. Chiapas alone is the anchor. Veracruz is next. Puebla stands out for strong productivity, while Oaxaca has lots of area but lower yield.

That matters because a headline production number can hide very different local stories. A rough season in one major state can tug down the national total even if smaller regions hold steady.

Mexico’s own agricultural reporting also shows the same pattern. The country’s coffee belt is concentrated, and the leading states keep turning up at the top of production tables year after year.

State Output That Drives The National Total

The table below shows how the main producing states stack up in the USDA state forecast for 2025/26. The gap between the leaders and the rest is wide.

State	Production (GBE)	Share Of Mexico Output
Chiapas	1,439,853	36.9%
Veracruz	971,110	24.9%
Puebla	843,332	21.6%
Oaxaca	328,571	8.4%
Guerrero	124,127	3.2%
Hidalgo	91,270	2.3%
Nayarit	40,524	1.0%
San Luis Potosí	35,960	0.9%

One thing jumps off the page: Chiapas and Veracruz together make up well over half of the crop. Add Puebla and Oaxaca, and you have almost the whole national story.

USDA’s Coffee Annual for Mexico says coffee is grown across 14 states, yet the harvest is still highly concentrated. Mexico’s own July coffee outlook points to the same broad pattern, with Chiapas, Veracruz, Puebla, and Oaxaca doing much of the heavy lifting.

What Makes The Number Move Up Or Down

Plant age and renovation

Older trees drag on yield. When farmers replace aging plants or bring in stronger varieties, production can pick up. When renovation slows, output can stall even if planted area looks stable on paper.

Weather and heat stress

Coffee is picky. Hot spells at the wrong time can hurt flowering and cherry growth. Rain that comes too late, too early, or in uneven bursts can also trim yields. A country may keep the same hectares in production and still harvest less coffee.

Disease pressure

Rust is still a farm-level threat. Good field care can cut damage, yet disease pressure never fully disappears. That keeps output from becoming as steady as a casual reader might expect.

Prices and farm spending

When prices are decent, growers can prune, weed, feed trees, and manage pests with more care. That often shows up later in yield. When margins tighten, the crop can lose momentum fast.

Arabica Leads, But Lower Areas Matter Too

Mexico is still known mainly for arabica, especially at higher elevations. USDA notes that a good share of national production comes from coffee grown above 900 meters, with another large slice grown between 600 and 900 meters. Robusta is smaller, though it has expanded in some lower areas.

That split helps explain why Mexican coffee can feel varied in the market. Higher-grown arabica tends to shape the country’s image, while lower-elevation production adds volume and fills other trade needs.

Measure	Recent Figure	What It Means
Total output	3.9 million bags	USDA 2025/26 forecast for national production
Bag size	60 kilograms	The standard unit used in coffee trade reports
Metric ton equivalent	234,000 tons	3.9 million bags converted to green bean weight
Top four states	91.4% of output	Shows how concentrated the crop is by region
Top state	Chiapas	The single biggest source of Mexican coffee

How Mexico Fits Into The World Coffee Trade

Mexico is not chasing Brazil or Vietnam on sheer size. That is not the race it wins. Its place is built on dependable export relevance, close access to the U.S. market, and a crop mix that still draws buyers who want Mexican arabica profiles.

The USDA’s global coffee production page lists Mexico at 3.9 million bags in current production tables. That keeps the country in the upper tier of producing nations, even if it sits far below the giants at the top.

So, How Much Coffee Does Mexico Produce In Plain Terms?

A fair one-line answer is this: Mexico produces just under 4 million 60-kilogram bags in a recent season. If you want the safer range, say roughly 3.3 to 3.9 million bags across the past few years, with Chiapas, Veracruz, Puebla, and Oaxaca driving the total.

That answer is better than tossing out a single old figure from memory. Coffee output is seasonal, and Mexico’s harvest can move more than casual readers expect.

For growers, traders, roasters, and readers who track supply, the better habit is to pair the number with the season attached to it. That keeps the answer clean and honest.